patrick.net

#irannuclearfacilities attack. What has caught my attention is a CNN report based on an allegedly leaked Defense Intelligence Agency report, which claims that the attack was not effective. The News Nation Network was skeptical of this report. So am I.
I went in-depth. I brought in a highly accomplished civil engineer named Casey Jones. His specialty is using satellite data to look at the ground levels before and after certain events. He is often used to determine whether some nation has carried out an underground nuclear test. He looked at satellite analysis of the three Iranian nuclear sites before and after the attack. He found depressions in the ground after the attack. This indicates that cavities within the nuclear facilities had collapsed. Here is a link for those curious:

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=yfnJY2ydvc0

One other important fact comes to bear. The centrifuges used to enrich uranium are very delicate and sensitive. Here is an expert report for you to consider:

Are the centrifuges used to enrich uranium delicate instruments?
Yes, centrifuges used to enrich uranium are highly delicate and precise instruments. They operate at extremely high speeds—often exceeding 100,000 RPM—to separate uranium isotopes (U-235 and U-238) based on their slight mass differences. This process, known as gas centrifugation, involves spinning uranium hexafluoride (UF6) gas in a vacuum to concentrate the lighter U-235 isotope.
The delicacy of these centrifuges stems from several factors:
Precision Engineering: Centrifuges are constructed with exacting tolerances to maintain balance at high speeds. Even minor imbalances or vibrations can cause catastrophic failure, as the rotors spin at supersonic velocities. Material Strength: They are made from specialized materials like maraging steel or carbon fiber composites to withstand immense centrifugal forces while resisting corrosion from UF6 gas. Vacuum Environment: The rotors operate in a near-vacuum to minimize friction and heat, requiring precise seals and bearings that are sensitive to disruptions. Sensitivity to Disturbances: Any external shock, misalignment, or manufacturing defect can damage the rotor or bearings, leading to breakdowns. For example, the Stuxnet malware (circa 2010) reportedly targeted Iranian centrifuges by subtly altering their speeds, causing mechanical stress and failures. Complexity and Maintenance: Enrichment facilities house thousands of centrifuges in cascades, and each unit must be meticulously maintained. A single failure can disrupt an entire cascade, as the gas flow is interconnected. In short, uranium enrichment centrifuges are sophisticated, finely tuned machines that require extreme care in design, operation, and maintenance due to their high-speed operation and the critical nature of their function.
How can Grok help?
DeepSearch
Think
Grok 3

My common sense tells me that a direct hit with a warhead would not be required to knock out these instruments. The concussion from the explosion of 30,000-pound warheads could have rendered these centrifuges useless and requiring their replacement. Iran will have a challenge replacing these centrifuges. Russia and China have these instruments. I do not see them selling these to Iran. Iran could go to North Korea and Pakistan to get these instruments. As I have stated previously that both countries are under a strong Chinese influence. I doubt that China would allow them to sell these instruments to Iran. Iran also had its centrifuge manufacturing plant that was destroyed by the Israel Defense Forces.

News Nation also talked about the whereabouts of Iran's enriched uranium. They focused on all the trucks lined up outside Iranian nuclear facilities before the US attack. Leland Vittert asked one simple and obvious question as follows:
"Were they taking enriched uranium out of the facilities or putting it in the facilities?"
Until we have "boots on the ground inspections," we will not be sure.